(CRICINFO) – Certain pre-series predictions have come to nothing at the conclusion of the ODIs. Recent form suggested that Pakistan began the one-dayers with an upper hand before the first ball was bowled, but in the course of two weeks, the balance shifted quite comprehensively. As a result, the Test series begins with an air of caution for Pakistan, despite their form in Tests being reassuring, doing well to remember that they are taking guard in a format that has rewarded them for their doggedness and consistency.
Since the tour of England in 2010, they haven’t conceded a series in their next seven including a 3-0 whitewash of the No.1 ranked England in February this year.
Sri Lanka have failed to win a Test series since Muttiah Muralitharan’s retirement in 2010, casting doubts about their ability to challenge the best, let alone win.
Wins against England and South Africa are indicators that they’re starting to learn how to win again. A 3-1 ODI series win has given them a kick too, but the question is if they can maintain that dominance in the Tests.
That said, the Tests could be quite interesting as both sides have plenty to prove.
While the aim will be to inch up the ICC Test rankings, both teams have an opportunity to establish Asian Test supremacy.
That’s partly owing to India’s sudden freefall from the summit. After two ruthless thrashings away from home, India have slid to number four, with just a slender lead on Pakistan. Pakistan will need to win comprehensively to go ahead of India.
Sri Lanka have a lot of catching up to do to get to either side, but a series win will narrow that gap nevertheless.
Change has been forced on Pakistan, with a new captain standing in for the banned Misbah-ul-Haq.
Despite Misbah’s lack of form, it’s still not ideal for their build-up. Mohammad Hafeez isn’t among the runs himself, yet he’s been given the responsibility of leading the team. Fortunately, the nucleus hasn’t been disturbed.
Their spin trio of Saeed Ajmal, Hafeez and Abdur Rehman remains. It will be interesting if Sri Lanka produce turning tracks, as it could be counter-productive for the hosts, who will rely primarily on one spinner.
Since January 2010, Galle has been favourable for spinners and seamers, with 71 and 53 wickets respectively and negating the spinners will be key to Sri Lanka’s chances, irrespective of the surface, while the weather and expected rains will be a factor too.