PPP leads in latest NACTA Opinion Poll


… Ramotar most likely next president
A tracking opinion poll conducted by the North American Caribbean Teachers Association last week to determine popular support for the political parties on Guyana’s general elections showed the incumbent PPP/C leading
the opposition parties and Donald Ramotar is most likely to be elected the next President of Guyana, with the other parties trailing way behind. 
The polling exercise was concluded before the parties filed nominations and before several major developments relating to the political moves of former PPP stalwart Moses Nagamootoo, Dr. Joey Jagan, Peter Ramsaroop, C.N Sharma, Valerie Lowe, etc., from one party to another.
NACTA, founded in New York by Caribbean educators, has no affiliation with any political party.  It has been conducting opinion surveys regularly in Guyana, the Caribbean, and other regions for 20 years. The latest Guyana poll was conducted to determine how people plan to vote for the November 28 elections, approval rating for outgoing President Bharrat Jagdeo, and how people rate the performance of the ministers and the achievement of the ministries during the term of the administration.
The poll randomly interviewed 500 voters to yield a demographically representative sample (45% Indians, 30% Africans, 16% Mixed, 8% Amerindians, and 1% other races) of the voting population. The survey was done in field interviews and was coordinated by Vishnu Bisram, a pollster, newspaper columnist, and an educator in NY, and who has been conducting polls in Guyana since 1989. The results of last week’s poll were analyzed at a 95% significance level and a statistical sampling error of plus or minus five percentage points was found.  Sampling results based on subgroups (such as Indians, Africans, Mixed, Amerindians) have a larger sampling error.
Asked if they approve of Jagdeo’s performance as President, 69% answered in the affirmative, with 24% saying no and 7% not offering a response.
Asked if they approve of incumbent Sam Hinds as the Prime Ministerial candidate of the PPP/C, 56% said yes, with 34% saying no, and 10% offering no response.
Asked which Ministry has made the most progress in terms of performance during the five years term of the government, Agriculture leads with 20% followed by Housing with 18%, Social Welfare 12%, Health 11%, Finance 8%, Culture 7%, Others 5%, Not Sure 19%.
Asked who they would rate as the best performing Minister, Robert Persaud leads with 21% followed by Priya Manikchand (14%), Irfan Ali 13%, Dr. Leslie Ramsammy (12%), Dr. Ashni Singh (10%), Frank Anthony (7%), Others (8%), Not Sure 15%.
In terms of popular support, the PPP is polling 48%, followed by APNU 25%, AFC 8%, JFAP 1%, other parties less than 1%, and 17% undecided or no response.  With the election still a month away, opinions could change by then.